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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 679.99 | $0.307 | $207.4 | -$1.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.299 | $59.8 | 12h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.2K |
| $0.142 |
| $186 |
| +$16 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 181 | $0.548 | $89.6 | -$9.59 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 219.99 | $0.367 | $82.5 | +$1.8 |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | Yes | 200 | $0.299 | $76.9 | +$17.1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 299.99 | $0.363 | $61.5 | -$47.5 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 80 | $0.682 | $60.8 | +$6.2 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 399.97 | $0.322 | $49.2 | -$79.5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 69.99 | $0.648 | $39.55 | -$5.85 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 60 | $0.510 | $32.1 | +$1.5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? | No | 40 | $0.833 | $27.8 | -$5.5 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $27.5 | +$2.5 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.516 | $23.25 | -$2.55 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | $0.092 | $22.05 | -$5.45 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.110 | $19 | -$3 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 60 | $0.320 | $18.9 | -$0.3 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.815 | $17.5 | +$1.2 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 20 | $0.680 | $14.7 | +$1.1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30 | $0.627 | $13.95 | -$4.85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 800 | $0.069 | $12.4 | -$42.8 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.810 | $8.75 | +$0.65 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.620 |
| $18.6 |
| 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 75.55 | $0.100 | $7.56 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | 7d ago |
 Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosChicago White Sox | sell | 30 | $0.490 | $14.7 | 8d ago |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosChicago White Sox | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | 8d ago |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 159.99 | $0.640 | $102.39 | 8d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | 11d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 12d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 13d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 15d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 15d ago |
 Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent BaxDaniil Glinka | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | 22d ago |
| Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent BaxDaniil Glinka | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 22d ago |
| Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent BaxDaniil Glinka | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 22d ago |
| Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent BaxDaniil Glinka | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 18?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 22d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 22d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.710 | $141.99 | 23d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 24d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.130 | $10.4 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.028 | $22.4 | 28d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 249.99 | $0.170 | $42.5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 33.32 | $0.268 | $8.93 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 20?Up | sell | 39.99 | $0.353 | $14.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?Down | buy | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 15?Up | buy | 7.81 | $0.360 | $2.81 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 15?Up | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.101 | $10.1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?Yes | buy | 149.99 | $0.077 | $11.58 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.285 | $42.75 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.001 | $1.25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 55.64 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Janelle Kellman win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 289.99 | $0.018 | $5.22 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 302 | $0.420 | $126.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.41K | $0.024 | $105.72 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.001 | $15 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 352.82 | $0.018 | $6.35 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.009 | $12.06 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.018 | $10.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |