Latest trade
Oct 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 3:03 AM UTC.
Analytics
Arilo is down $73.75K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 3:03 AM UTC.
$1,789.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Aug 27, 2025 UTC to Oct 8, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.072 | $161 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 08:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 03:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 03:03 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 08:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $178.25K and losing ones cost $206.08K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $23.8K on “Bitcoin above $114K on August 25?” (No); the largest loss, $41.08K on “Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Oct 2025. It has traded 75 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 42.66K |
| $0.002 |
| $99.81 |
| Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | sell | 9.56K | $0.006 | $60.81 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 4.17K | $0.240 | $1K | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.240 | $293 | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 4.17K | $0.240 | $1K | Oct 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?Yes | buy | 9.92K | $0.504 | $5K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31?Yes | buy | 10.42K | $0.480 | $5K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?Yes | buy | 12.53K | $0.338 | $4.24K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?Yes | buy | 29.14K | $0.343 | $10K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?No | sell | 35.31K | $0.686 | $24.24K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 8.33K | $0.240 | $2K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 1.94K | $0.230 | $448 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 4.35K | $0.230 | $1K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Braves vs. PhilliesBraves | buy | 3.95K | $0.400 | $1.58K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 LSU vs. ClemsonLSU | buy | 3.45K | $0.290 | $1K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $108K on September 1?No | sell | 8.13K | $0.317 | $2.58K | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 598.61 | $0.618 | $370.22 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?Down | buy | 17.83K | $0.280 | $5K | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 85.71 | $0.070 | $6 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?Down | buy | 12.32K | $0.406 | $5K | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?Down | buy | 25.11K | $0.398 | $10K | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Appalachian State vs. CharlotteAppalachian State | buy | 8.22K | $0.608 | $5K | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?Down | buy | 9.32K | $0.455 | $4.24K | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $108K on August 29?No | sell | 16.79K | $0.010 | $174.05 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $110K on August 29?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.970 | $1.06K | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $108K on August 29?No | buy | 8.55K | $0.234 | $2K | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $108K on August 29?No | buy | 8.25K | $0.364 | $3K | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $110K on August 29?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.340 | $373 | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 29?No | sell | 14.48K | $0.923 | $13.37K | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Appalachian State vs. CharlotteAppalachian State | buy | 12.14K | $0.650 | $7.89K | Aug 29, 2025 UTC |
| Yankees vs. White SoxYankees | buy | 7.89K | $0.640 | $5.05K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Wyoming vs. AkronAkron | buy | 12.8K | $0.391 | $5K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?No | buy | 7.14K | $0.280 | $2K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?No | buy | 7.6K | $0.263 | $2K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?No | buy | 4.17K | $0.240 | $1K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?No | buy | 16.4K | $0.244 | $4K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $108K on September 1?No | buy | 8.13K | $0.123 | $1K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.6K | $0.009 | $50.73 | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 29?No | buy | 14.48K | $0.306 | $4.43K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4AM ETDown | buy | 10.25K | $0.293 | $3K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 3.14K | $0.318 | $1K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 2.46K | $0.406 | $1K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 1.23K | $0.441 | $544 | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 2.13K | $0.469 | $1K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 1.79K | $0.559 | $1K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 10.34K | $0.482 | $4.98K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 30.39 | $0.550 | $16.71 | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2AM ETDown | buy | 11.15K | $0.448 | $5K | Aug 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 27 at 8PM ET?Yes | buy | 543.75 | $0.160 | $87 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.