Latest trade
Apr 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 4:55 PM UTC.
Analytics
Fergusu8o0 is down $9.39 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 4:55 PM UTC.
$34.96 median trade
Its latest 87 trades covered 44 markets; 72.4% were buys. They run from Jan 18, 2025 UTC to Apr 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1 | $0.088 | $0.17 | +$0.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 37 | $0.971 | $35.93 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 13:52 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 16:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
87 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 16:55 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-27 00:14 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $3.06 and losing ones cost $3.54 across the latest 50 settled positions. 28% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.78 on “Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?” (No); the largest loss, $0.71 on “Starmer out by April 30, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 6 Jan 2025 and most recently on 26 Apr 2026, 172 days ago. It has traded 46 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.17 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 39 |
| $0.038 |
| $1.48 |
| Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.036 | $2.92 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 42 | $0.947 | $39.77 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 37 | $0.975 | $36.07 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 43 | $0.922 | $39.65 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 43 | $0.922 | $39.65 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 41 | $0.858 | $35.18 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 36 | $0.971 | $34.96 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 36 | $0.971 | $34.96 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 25 | $0.018 | $0.45 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 40 | $0.956 | $38.24 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.925 | $11.1 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.926 | $21.3 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.926 | $5.77 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 41 | $0.927 | $38.01 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.926 | $28.71 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.928 | $2.78 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.053 | $4.19 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.945 | $5.67 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.223 | $17.39 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 37 | $0.929 | $34.37 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 37 | $0.929 | $34.37 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.082 | $3.2 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | buy | 36 | $0.974 | $35.06 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.913 | $38.35 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.913 | $38.35 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.033 | $4.79 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.037 | $5.36 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.949 | $38.91 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.953 | $39.07 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 42 | $0.931 | $39.1 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 43 | $0.919 | $39.52 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.022 | $1.65 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 36 | $0.984 | $35.42 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.010 | $0.91 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 38 | $0.947 | $35.99 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.946 | $32.16 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.147 | $4.12 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.148 | $10.95 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 20.37 | $0.982 | $20 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 37 | $0.982 | $36.33 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.912 | $40.13 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 37 | $0.980 | $36.26 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 37 | $0.980 | $36.26 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 41 | $0.979 | $40.14 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 41 | $0.979 | $40.14 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.911 | $36.44 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.