Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 594.23 | $0.994 | $590.66 | Mar 12, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 591.84 |
| $0.998 |
| $590.66 |
| Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 591.84 | $0.998 | $590.66 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 254.51 | $0.981 | $249.67 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 504.03 | $0.992 | $500 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.95 | $0.992 | $331.15 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 415.72 | $0.962 | $400 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 611.62 | $0.981 | $600 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.975 | $1.3K | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.996 | $1.29K | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.939 | $1.22K | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.964 | $1.17K | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.980 | $1.15K | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.969 | $1.11K | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.997 | $1.11K | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.998 | $1.11K | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.881 | $1.11K | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.882 | $1.11K | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.997 | $1.11K | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.995 | $1.11K | Sep 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 112.72 | $0.940 | $105.96 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 105.32 | $0.997 | $105 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 10.78 | $0.992 | $10.69 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 22.59 | $0.974 | $22 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Pete Sessions be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 69.28 | $0.996 | $69 | Dec 23, 2024 |