Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 3 Jan 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 7 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.1% on 8 Nov 2024. $219.28K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 7:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 3 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 50.5% |
| 3 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 187.84K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 3.28K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 776.97 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Sessions becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only the first-elected Speaker of the House will count toward the resolution of this market. If the election for the first Speaker for the 119th Congress is not finalized by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America (ex: https://www.speaker.gov/, https://www.house.gov/), however credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/speaker-of-the-house-for-the-119th-congress
| Yes |
| 500 |
| Swift Harbor F5F5 | Yes | 376.24 |
| CopingCroc | Yes | 333.33 |
| banna | Yes | 333.33 |
| lmiller | Yes | 324 |
| Silver Signal EA25 | Yes | 321.43 |
| liweny | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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