Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.57 | $0.962 | $14.98 | Jan 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 15.58 |
| $0.963 |
| $15 |
| Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 22.85 | $0.962 | $21.98 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.85 | $0.963 | $22 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 23.88 | $0.962 | $22.97 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.88 | $0.963 | $23 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.92 | $0.962 | $23.97 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.92 | $0.963 | $24 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.660 | $1.2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?No | buy | 0.61 | $0.980 | $0.6 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 881.67 | $0.561 | $494.62 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 2024 October hottest on record?No | buy | 0.73 | $0.820 | $0.6 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 55.18 | $0.597 | $32.94 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55.18 | $0.598 | $33 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will Biden drop out before Trump's RNC speech?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Will Germany win?Yes | buy | 0.83 | $0.600 | $0.5 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Blast airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Will Hungary win?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.090 | $0.5 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 17, 2024 |
 LayerZero airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | Jun 17, 2024 |