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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 126.38 | $0.396 | $44.42 | -$5.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 82.77 | $0.550 | $45.52 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 52.63 |
| $0.570 |
| $38.68 |
| +$8.68 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 78.13 | $0.640 | $35.16 | -$14.84 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 85.71 | $0.350 | $23.57 | -$6.43 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 65.14 | $0.153 | $3.62 | -$6.38 |
| buy |
| 87.03 |
| $0.574 |
| $50 |
| 27d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.600 | $33 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.540 | $15 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.75 | $0.759 | $14.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.19 | $0.820 | $13.28 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.950 | $67.85 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 108.83 | $0.459 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.560 | $40 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 93.39 | $0.422 | $39.44 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.120 | $12.86 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 179.64 | $0.167 | $30 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.037 | $4.63 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 63.29 | $0.360 | $22.78 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.16 | $0.119 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.780 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 93.4 | $0.535 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.560 | $8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 34.78 | $0.230 | $8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 126.38 | $0.396 | $50 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.56 | $0.241 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.145 | $10.99 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 79.99 | $0.375 | $30 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes | buy | 65.14 | $0.154 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.19 | $0.618 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.090 | $4.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.82 | $0.145 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17K | $0.012 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.395 | $30 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | May 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 82.43 | $0.810 | $66.77 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 82.42 | $0.750 | $61.82 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 54.95 | $0.690 | $37.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanChina | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 104.34 | $0.102 | $10.68 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 104.35 | $0.230 | $24 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.774 | $96.75 | Jan 16, 2026 |