Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 35.41 | $0.740 | $26.2 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 11.36 |
| $0.900 |
| $10.22 |
| Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.966 | $5.19 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.971 | $10.79 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?No | buy | 59.63 | $0.380 | $22.66 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Harris gets more Republican voters than Biden?No | sell | 24.63 | $0.920 | $22.66 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?No | buy | 64.89 | $0.380 | $24.66 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | sell | 88.08 | $0.280 | $24.66 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 71.41 | $0.290 | $20.71 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?No | sell | 6.55 | $0.910 | $5.96 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.005 | $0.13 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?No | sell | 208.12 | $0.040 | $8.32 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Chase Oliver get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.124 | $4.59 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 27.59 | $0.725 | $20 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will either candidate concede in November?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will either candidate concede in November?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Chase Oliver get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Harris gets more Republican voters than Biden?No | buy | 14.64 | $0.683 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Rogan" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "China" 7 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "teleprompter" 3 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Who will win Latino men?Trump | sell | 5.55 | $0.220 | $1.22 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "cognitively impaired" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.180 | $1.87 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 31.01 | $0.347 | $10.76 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "CIA" during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "JFK" during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "fentanyl" during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "border" 20 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "Kamala" 30 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "Trump" 50 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "fake news" during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "CIA" during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Halloween" during Henderson, Nevada rally on Oct 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "hell" 10 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "gun" 5 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "tariff" 5 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Oct 29, 2024 |