Latest trade
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:14 PM UTC.
Analytics
HongKongMenace has made $53.95K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:14 PM UTC.
$195.48 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 12 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Jul 31, 2026 UTC to Oct 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 49.37K | $0.880 | $45.17K | +$1.73K |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 1 | 0 | $0 | |
| uncategorized | +$6.8K | $119.55K | 542 | 38 | 18.4% | $16.09 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.210 | $246.2 | 8d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 11:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:14 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 11:29 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $105.08K and losing ones cost $2.53K across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $18.97K on “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?” (No); the largest loss, $1.85K on “Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (No).
It first traded on 4 Nov 2025 and most recently on 17 Oct 2026. It has traded 68 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($119.55K). Its open positions are worth $54.96K across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 8K |
| $0.930 |
| $6.84K |
| -$600 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1.09K | $0.780 | $1.04K | +$193.7 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 11.77K | $0.645 | $1K | -$6.59K |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 815.91 | $0.765 | $656.8 | +$32.55 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 9.84K | $0.028 | $241.01 | -$32.25 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.576 | $0.59 | -$672.92 |
| sell |
| 23.81 |
| $0.210 |
| $5 |
| 8d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 10d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 11d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.39 | $0.210 | $2.6 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.210 | $2.84 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 128.33 | $0.210 | $26.95 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.210 | $8.4 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 137 | $0.210 | $28.77 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.210 | $317.8 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 30.44K | $0.880 | $26.79K | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.96 | $0.820 | $27.85 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.820 | $10.51 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.820 | $4.56 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.820 | $131.2 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.58K | $0.930 | $7.05K | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 157.01 | $0.930 | $146.02 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 263.38 | $0.930 | $244.94 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.900 | $6.3K | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.52K | $0.906 | $5.91K | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 14.98K | $0.983 | $14.72K | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.295 | $35.4 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 7.89K | $0.880 | $6.94K | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.880 | $1.06 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.880 | $2.21K | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 42.96K | $0.960 | $41.24K | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.880 | $52.38 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.880 | $2.2K | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.97K | $0.880 | $5.25K | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.192 | $493.68 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 20.81K | $0.922 | $19.2K | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.62K | $0.648 | $7.54K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.610 | $1.56 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.42 | $0.610 | $11.24 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 21.78K | $0.993 | $21.63K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 4.45K | $0.524 | $2.34K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 5.99K | $0.524 | $3.14K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.489 | $1.63K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.496 | $844.85 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 6.31K | $0.499 | $3.14K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.965 | $2.31K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.43K | $0.965 | $3.31K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 956.22 | $0.980 | $937.09 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 74.29 | $0.965 | $71.69 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.