Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | 50m ago |
|
| No |
| 18.18 |
| $0.550 |
| $9.91 |
| -$0.09 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.520 | $8.94 | -$1.06 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 25 | $0.400 | $8.88 | -$1.13 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.08 | $0.800 | $5.68 | +$0.82 |
| buy |
| 18.87 |
| $0.530 |
| $10 |
| 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | 17h ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 1d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | 8d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 3.98 | $0.610 | $2.43 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 12.87 | $0.777 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 18d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.770 | $4.79 | 28d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 29d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.750 | $5.77 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 12 | $0.210 | $2.52 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.540 | $1.62 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?No | buy | 16.26 | $0.620 | $10.08 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.630 | $1.92 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $147.50 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 16.35 | $0.400 | $6.54 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.500 | $2.55 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?No | buy | 13 | $0.260 | $3.38 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.05 | $0.757 | $9.88 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.290 | $3.77 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Tesla say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?No | buy | 16 | $0.600 | $9.6 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.5 | $0.260 | $3.51 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.87 | $0.390 | $1.12 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 France vs. England: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.210 | $2.52 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 17, 2026 |