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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?Yes | buy | 6.8 | $0.210 | $1.43 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 68.28 |
| $0.010 |
| $0.68 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.005 | $1.67 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 20?Yes | buy | 72.11 | $0.018 | $1.33 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 20?Yes | buy | 178.76 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 20?Yes | buy | 175.65 | $0.007 | $1.32 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?Yes | buy | 585.37 | $0.006 | $3.38 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.001 | $1.81 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 20?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.007 | $7.21 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 20?Yes | sell | 134.01 | $0.140 | $18.76 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.001 | $1.12 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 20?Yes | buy | 225.1 | $0.004 | $0.9 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 20?Yes | sell | 23.56 | $0.160 | $3.77 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.001 | $2.03 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 20?Yes | sell | 230.7 | $0.011 | $2.54 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 20?Yes | buy | 213.23 | $0.022 | $4.69 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 20?Yes | buy | 22.12 | $0.200 | $4.42 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 20?Yes | buy | 125.17 | $0.140 | $17.52 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 20?Yes | buy | 107.43 | $0.024 | $2.58 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?Yes | buy | 130.15 | $0.003 | $0.39 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 20?No | buy | 450.1 | $0.002 | $0.9 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?Yes | buy | 900.1 | $0.001 | $0.9 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 20?Yes | buy | 900.2 | $0.002 | $1.8 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 381.61 | $0.153 | $58.36 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 42.94K | $0.001 | $42.94 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 343.48 | $0.130 | $44.65 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18?No | buy | 192.8 | $0.015 | $2.89 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 11.63K | $0.002 | $23.25 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 472.22 | $0.051 | $24.19 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 24.37K | $0.001 | $24.37 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 633.33 | $0.040 | $25.33 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.9K | $0.001 | $9.9 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 4.8K | $0.001 | $4.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 5.99K | $0.002 | $11.97 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.060 | $4.29 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.070 | $3.89 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 133.56 | $0.032 | $4.27 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 4.14K | $0.002 | $8.28 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |