Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 54.01 | $0.850 | $45.91 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 76.41 |
| $0.601 |
| $45.91 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 76.42 | $0.650 | $49.67 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 9.76K | $0.009 | $87.88 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | sell | 88.23 | $0.996 | $87.88 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 88.24 | $0.976 | $86.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 86.38 | $0.997 | $86.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 86.39 | $0.936 | $80.86 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6PM ETUp | sell | 80.3 | $0.999 | $80.22 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6PM ETUp | buy | 80.3 | $0.990 | $79.5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5PM ETUp | sell | 79.58 | $0.999 | $79.5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5PM ETUp | buy | 79.59 | $0.998 | $79.43 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Yes | buy | 80.45 | $0.990 | $79.65 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?Yes | sell | 79.72 | $0.999 | $79.64 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?Yes | buy | 79.72 | $0.996 | $79.4 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 79.41 | $0.997 | $79.17 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 18.19 | $0.995 | $18.1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | sell | 116.1 | $0.678 | $78.68 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 90.63 | $0.740 | $67.07 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 25.47 | $0.740 | $18.85 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk before August?Yes | buy | 67.07 | $0.999 | $67 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | sell | 86.11 | $0.997 | $85.85 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 86.11 | $0.998 | $85.94 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 27?No | buy | 92.03 | $0.979 | $90.1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Khamenei seen in public before July?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.967 | $67.7 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Khamenei seen in public before July?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.930 | $83.7 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | sell | 85.2 | $0.988 | $84.18 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 85.2 | $0.939 | $80 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes | sell | 80.08 | $0.997 | $79.84 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes | buy | 80.08 | $0.999 | $80 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | sell | 131.57 | $0.613 | $80.65 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Jun 24, 2025 |