Latest trade
Aug 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:54 AM UTC.
Analytics
Marvelous-Heartache is down $171.77 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:54 AM UTC.
$2.25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Aug 6, 2026 UTC to Aug 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 7.48 | $0.434 | $6.06 | +$2.82 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundTeam Resilience | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 21:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 01:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 01:54 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 21:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $107.74 and losing ones cost $261.37 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $20.09 on “Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $31.09 on “Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round” (Team Resilience).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Aug 2026. It has traded 91 markets. Its open positions are worth $9.11 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5.02 |
| $0.370 |
| $1.98 |
| +$0.13 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.23 | $0.170 | $1.06 | -$0.51 |
| buy |
| 15.63 |
| $0.320 |
| $5 |
| Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundVici Gaming | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundTeam Resilience | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundVici Gaming | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundVici Gaming | buy | 40.03 | $0.250 | $10 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundTeam Resilience | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group StageVici Gaming | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Resilience | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group StageXtreme Gaming | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?Yes | sell | 5.85 | $0.290 | $1.7 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Resilience | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group StageXtreme Gaming | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?Yes | buy | 14.33 | $0.150 | $2.15 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.380 | $1.92 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group StageXtreme Gaming | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group StageVici Gaming | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Resilience | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group StageVici Gaming | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group StageXtreme Gaming | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.370 | $1.86 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Resilience | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Resilience | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?Yes | buy | 5.85 | $0.270 | $1.58 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | sell | 7.39 | $0.005 | $0.04 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.090 | $0.47 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 10.98 | $0.090 | $0.99 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026?Yes | buy | 255.8 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will China region win The International 2026?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.186 | $20 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 13.47 | $0.230 | $3.1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?No | buy | 9.39 | $0.330 | $3.1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.430 | $3.32 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 7.73 | $0.410 | $3.17 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.4 | $0.270 | $2.54 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 8.68 | $0.035 | $0.3 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 112.35 | $0.021 | $2.36 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 7.39 | $0.430 | $3.18 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 91.41 | $0.016 | $1.46 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.021 | $0.03 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.79 | $0.021 | $1.89 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 112.35 | $0.017 | $1.91 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?No | sell | 11.61 | $0.140 | $1.63 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 33.77 | $0.240 | $8.1 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 5.92 | $0.999 | $5.91 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | sell | 8.31 | $0.912 | $7.58 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.23 | $0.170 | $1.57 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 33.77 | $0.090 | $3.04 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.