Latest trade
Sep 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:55 PM UTC.
Analytics
Affectionate-Brushfire is down $2.9K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 20 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:55 PM UTC.
$47.36 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 11 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Sep 9, 2025 UTC to Sep 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.58K | $0.247 | $304.29 | -$580.88 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.140 | $25.2 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-13 22:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 13:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 13:55 UTC
polymarket positions
21 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-13 22:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $519.09 and losing ones cost $3.16K across 20 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $322.02 on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.12K on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Sep 2026. It has traded 21 markets. Its open positions are worth $304.29 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 430.43 |
| $0.028 |
| $12.02 |
| Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bill Clinton charged by January 31?Yes | buy | 430.43 | $0.018 | $7.75 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 255.27 | $0.167 | $42.69 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 284.06 | $0.111 | $31.53 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.105 | $187.45 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | sell | 250 | $0.447 | $111.77 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.260 | $143 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 950 | $0.260 | $247 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.986 | $197.2 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.250 | $80 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 289.89 | $0.240 | $69.57 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | sell | 250 | $0.607 | $151.77 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.260 | $49.4 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | sell | 70 | $0.830 | $58.1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | sell | 5.33 | $0.840 | $4.48 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 70 | $0.880 | $61.6 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.973 | $194.6 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 61.48 | $0.020 | $1.23 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No | buy | 190 | $0.780 | $148.2 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.770 | $4.1 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k | buy | 500 | $0.470 | $234.94 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.027 | $54.08 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.066 | $33 | Sep 14, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.084 | $25.2 | Sep 12, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.103 | $51.33 | Sep 12, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.113 | $45.33 | Sep 12, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.111 | $55.5 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.129 | $25.8 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.137 | $41.1 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 55.38 | $0.121 | $6.7 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 206.61 | $0.121 | $25 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.122 | $4.64 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.126 | $37.8 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $39.9 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $39.96 | Sep 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 592.68 | $0.163 | $96.61 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 291.12 | $0.171 | $49.78 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.151 | $33.22 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.151 | $12.08 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.