Latest trade
Oct 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:18 PM UTC.
Analytics
erwtd3 is down $45.77 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 31 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:18 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 38 trades covered 37 markets; 97.4% were buys. They run from Mar 14, 2026 UTC to Oct 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 4.39 | $0.870 | $3.78 | -$0.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 4.39 | $0.870 | $3.82 | 10d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 17:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
38 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 17:18 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 06:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $23.87 and losing ones cost $44.95 across 31 settled positions. 71% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.9 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $6.86 on “Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Oct 2026. It has traded 37 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.78 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.64 |
| $0.900 |
| $3.28 |
| 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.870 | $4.16 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.920 | $4.23 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 4.98 | $0.920 | $4.58 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 US x China tariff agreement by July 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.960 | $5.06 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.940 | $5.1 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?No | buy | 16.06 | $0.360 | $5.78 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.930 | $5.31 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 32.2 | $0.100 | $3.22 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.950 | $5.02 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.780 | $4.21 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.660 | $5.02 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.950 | $5.16 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?Yes | buy | 31.67 | $0.150 | $4.75 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Kings vs. AvalancheKings | buy | 15.52 | $0.310 | $4.81 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 6.21 | $0.390 | $2.42 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.840 | $5.03 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Devils vs. Red WingsDevils | buy | 9.55 | $0.440 | $4.2 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.830 | $4.98 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.820 | $5.1 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Canadiens vs. LightningLightning | buy | 5.25 | $0.610 | $3.2 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Celtics vs. HawksCeltics | buy | 11.38 | $0.490 | $5.58 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.650 | $5.79 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.800 | $6.86 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.380 | $5.89 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | buy | 12.04 | $0.510 | $6.14 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Penguins vs. AvalancheAvalanche | buy | 7.75 | $0.670 | $5.19 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Pistons vs. RaptorsPistons | buy | 7.48 | $0.620 | $4.64 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Hurricanes vs. LightningLightning | buy | 12.05 | $0.550 | $6.63 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.