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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 400 | $0.500 | $201 | +$1 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 50.81 | $0.984 | $50 | 24d ago |
 |
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.500 |
| $199 |
| -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.517 | $105 | +$1.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.605 | $93 | -$28 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 50.81 | $0.984 | $50.79 | +$0.79 |
| buy |
| 153.53 |
| $0.977 |
| $150 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 606.67 | $0.989 | $600 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 142 | $0.720 | $102.24 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.586 | $410.2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?No | sell | 240.97 | $0.891 | $214.73 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?No | sell | 29.25 | $0.942 | $27.57 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?No | sell | 978.54 | $0.982 | $960.83 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?No | buy | 978.55 | $0.981 | $960 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.984 | $1.1K | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.980 | $1.1K | Oct 25, 2025 |