Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 771.04 | $0.900 | $736.34 | +$42.41 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | buy | 771.04 | $0.900 | $693.94 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.950 |
| $190.05 |
| May 23, 2026 |
 Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes | buy | 200.17 | $0.706 | $141.24 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 332 | $0.914 | $303.45 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.944 | $47.2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 218 | $0.985 | $214.73 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Yes | buy | 82.3 | $0.930 | $76.54 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?No | buy | 88 | $0.930 | $81.84 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.919 | $82.71 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 23.34 | $0.919 | $21.45 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.987 | $197.4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.986 | $73.95 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.39 | $0.209 | $1.34 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.110 | $10.01 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.150 | $13.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.150 | $13.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.159 | $14.31 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.090 | $8.73 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.205 | $12.27 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.330 | $19.78 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.230 | $14.95 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | sell | 81 | $0.680 | $55.08 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 81 | $0.910 | $73.71 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | sell | 57 | $0.994 | $56.66 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?No | sell | 48.24 | $0.999 | $48.19 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?No | buy | 61.53 | $0.610 | $37.53 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?No | buy | 50 | $0.931 | $46.55 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.974 | $55.52 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?No | buy | 48.24 | $0.910 | $43.9 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.950 | $71.25 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.351 | $17.55 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.850 | $117.3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | buy | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?No | buy | 50 | $0.798 | $39.9 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.517 | $25.83 | Jan 2, 2026 |