Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 1.03 |
| $0.990 |
| $1.02 |
| May 24, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.710 | $0.96 | May 24, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.932 | $1.02 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.955 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.988 | $1.1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?Yes | buy | 36.79 | $0.027 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Padres vs. RedsReds | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Rockies vs. BrewersBrewers | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?Up | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 18–25?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 18–25?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.857 | $2 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Bucks vs. PelicansBucks | sell | 1.28 | $0.680 | $0.87 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.979 | $1.41 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Dariush vs. MoicanoDariush | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Bucks vs. PelicansBucks | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.692 | $1 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.729 | $2.11 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.487 | $1.26 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.691 | $2 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.670 | $0.11 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.38 | $0.260 | $0.1 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will 'It Ends with Us' gross more than $44m on its opening weekend?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.900 | $0.12 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 US adds between 150k and 200k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?No | buy | 0.33 | $0.900 | $0.3 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US in 2024?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.950 | $0.1 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?No | buy | 0.45 | $0.730 | $0.33 | Aug 9, 2024 |