Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.121 | $83.38 | -$57.61 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 1d ago |
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| Yes |
| 1.49K |
| $0.089 |
| $57.42 |
| -$75.58 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 141.9 | $0.282 | $21.99 | -$18.01 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 23.81 | $0.420 | $18.93 | +$8.93 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.210 | $16.43 | +$1.43 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10.96 | +$0.96 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 409.98 | $0.029 | $9.63 | -$2.36 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 55 | $0.127 | $6.32 | -$0.68 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 21.13 | $0.331 | $6.02 | -$0.98 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 23.08 | $0.130 | $2.88 | -$0.12 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 121.95 | $0.041 | $2.62 | -$2.38 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 13.23 | $0.454 | $2.31 | -$3.69 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.060 | $2.03 | -$1.97 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | $0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 7.41 | $0.270 | $1.3 | -$0.7 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $0.99 | -$1.01 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 15.7 | $0.255 | $0.94 | -$3.06 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 11.4 | $0.351 | $0.81 | -$3.19 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.76 | -$0.24 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
| buy |
| 6.67 |
| $0.150 |
| $1 |
| 1d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 1d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 1d ago |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 1d ago |
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 97.56 | $0.041 | $4 | 1d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | 1d ago |
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | 3d ago |
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 3d ago |
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | 3d ago |
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | 3d ago |
Will Juventus FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | 17d ago |
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.650 | $11.7 | 28d ago |
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 28d ago |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | 29d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | 29d ago |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.060 | $3.75 | 29d ago |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 29d ago |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 29d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | 29d ago |
Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.040 | $0.67 | 29d ago |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | 29d ago |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.041 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.4 | $0.351 | $4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.340 | $4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 127.89 | $0.120 | $15.35 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.555 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |