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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 3.16 | $0.316 | $2.73 | +$1.73 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.16 |
| $0.316 |
| $1 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.820 | $2.44 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.3 | $0.570 | $0.74 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.380 | $0.86 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.390 | $1.05 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.39 | $0.450 | $1.53 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.012 | $0.75 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.710 | $1.78 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.650 | $1.68 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.925 | $1.14 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 3.27 | $0.540 | $1.77 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.620 | $1.77 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.77 | $0.510 | $1.92 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.510 | $1.82 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.636 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.549 | $0.84 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.653 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.540 | $0.85 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.350 | $0.92 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 1?Up | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.510 | $1.7 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.460 | $1.64 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 3.68 | $0.526 | $1.94 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.584 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.820 | $1.24 | Nov 25, 2025 |