Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.002 |
| $1 |
| Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.790 | $9.51 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 171.94 | $0.012 | $2 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 71.79 | $0.070 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 45.33 | $0.044 | $2 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 163.58 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.033 | $3.17 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?Yes | buy | 70.74 | $0.283 | $20 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 325.29 | $0.015 | $5 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will the Greens be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.350 | $4 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 31, 2025 |