Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.080 | $5.68 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 71 |
| $0.080 |
| $5.68 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.350 | $13.65 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 38 | $0.920 | $34.96 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 38 | $0.920 | $34.96 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.961 | $38.44 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.910 | $38.22 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.920 | $34.96 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.920 | $34.96 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.240 | $9.36 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.250 | $9.75 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.260 | $6.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.200 | $3.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.150 | $3.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.973 | $39.89 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.943 | $35.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.150 | $3.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.920 | $37.72 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.044 | $3.34 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.046 | $3.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.850 | $39.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 68 | $0.400 | $27.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.959 | $35.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.042 | $3.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.050 | $4.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.110 | $4.51 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.067 | $4.49 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.068 | $2.11 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.800 | $10.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.978 | $36.19 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.550 | $8.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.470 | $0.94 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.600 | $39 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.620 | $41.54 | May 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.038 | $0.72 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 67 | $0.560 | $37.52 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.190 | $8.55 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.042 | $0.13 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.045 | $3.42 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.043 | $3.4 | May 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.110 | $4.62 | May 26, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.430 | $36.12 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.957 | $42.11 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.984 | $41.33 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.148 | $12.43 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.600 | $45.6 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.620 | $47.12 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.955 | $42.02 | May 23, 2026 |