Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 630 | $0.544 | $313.43 | -$29.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 278 | $0.310 | $86.18 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 557.99 |
| $0.489 |
| $270.63 |
| -$2.4 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 260 | $0.870 | $224.9 | -$1.3 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | No | 210 | $0.890 | $203.6 | +$16.7 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 350 | $0.508 | $173.25 | -$4.65 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 416.05 | $0.402 | $164.55 | -$2.53 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 186.55 | $0.510 | $93.74 | -$1.4 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | Yes | 854.96 | $0.220 | $15.82 | -$172.27 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 26.49 | $0.534 | $13.64 | -$0.51 |
 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 175.2 | $0.057 | $8.94 | -$1 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | Yes | 23.82 | $0.307 | $4.05 | -$3.27 |
 Will BP be acquired before 2027? | No | 2.2 | $0.700 | $2.14 | +$0.6 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 2.01 | $0.597 | $1.66 | +$0.47 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.81 | $0.380 | $1.5 | +$0.43 |
| Will BP be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 36.95 | $0.148 | $1.09 | -$4.39 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027? | No | 1 | $0.831 | $0.92 | +$0.08 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | Yes | 3.3 | $0.380 | $0.69 | -$0.56 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.65 | $0.210 | $0.4 | -$0.37 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 3.75 | $0.207 | $0.24 | -$0.53 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | Yes | 4.8 | $0.090 | $0.18 | -$0.25 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 0.33 | $0.499 | $0.17 | +$0 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | Yes | 2.54 | $0.424 | $0.07 | -$1.01 |
 Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | Yes | 0.21 | $0.217 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 105 |
| $0.130 |
| $13.65 |
| 6d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | 14d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | 23d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.640 | $38.4 | 23d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.650 | $84.5 | 23d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.650 | $221 | 23d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 68.22 | $0.432 | $29.47 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 378 | $0.060 | $22.68 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 378 | $0.060 | $22.68 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 114.71 | $0.049 | $5.59 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 378.2 | $0.058 | $21.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 338 | $0.167 | $56.31 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 60 | $0.640 | $38.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 98.82 | $0.177 | $17.52 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 405 | $0.616 | $249.29 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.112 | $40.46 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 46.01 | $0.690 | $31.75 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 67.46 | $0.690 | $46.55 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 84 | $0.400 | $33.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.601 | $180.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.130 | $45.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.570 | $70.68 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.64K | $0.110 | $290.47 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No | sell | 65 | $0.660 | $42.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.310 | $6.51 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.590 | $0.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 907.5 | $0.550 | $499.13 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 1.57K | $0.344 | $539.56 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.1K | $0.108 | $334.29 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 3.99 | $0.998 | $3.98 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.824 | $65.89 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 550.62 | $0.828 | $456.06 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 275 | $0.620 | $170.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.430 | $8.17 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 8 | $0.450 | $3.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 336.4 | $0.159 | $53.65 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 106.8 | $0.110 | $11.75 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 103.2 | $0.140 | $14.45 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.210 | $9.45 | Jun 6, 2026 |