Latest trade
May 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 6:38 AM UTC.
Notable-Waterfront is down $90.29 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 6:38 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Apr 8, 2026 UTC to May 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 125 | $0.080 | $5.94 | -$4.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.031 | $9.78 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-09 17:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 06:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 06:38 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $168.17 and losing ones cost $14.47 across 18 settled positions. 72.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $63.55 on “Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $6.97 on “Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 May 2026. It has traded 36 markets. Its open positions are worth $13.2 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 37.9 |
| $0.264 |
| $5.51 |
| -$4.49 |
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.010 | $1.75 | -$3.25 |
| sell |
| 102.34 |
| $0.073 |
| $7.47 |
| May 3, 2026 UTC |
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes | sell | 58.59 | $0.017 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes | sell | 48.81 | $0.275 | $13.42 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40.98 | $0.488 | $20 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No | buy | 51.69 | $0.560 | $28.94 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No | sell | 121.81 | $0.390 | $47.51 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 71.77 | $0.418 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 72.86 | $0.412 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No | buy | 118.4 | $0.319 | $37.82 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 524.8 | $0.010 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 305.21 | $0.016 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.992 | $41.33 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 606.79 | $0.016 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | sell | 135.19 | $0.430 | $58.13 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 424.78 | $0.012 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.130 | $2.17 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes | sell | 22.36 | $0.048 | $1.07 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.420 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 96.77 | $0.465 | $44.95 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes | buy | 21.48 | $0.043 | $0.92 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 33.66 | $0.280 | $9.42 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 97.57 | $0.290 | $28.3 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.310 | $30 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 115.76 | $0.383 | $44.39 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | sell | 39.84 | $0.323 | $12.86 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | buy | 39.84 | $0.251 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 115.77 | $0.259 | $30 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.150 | $9.38 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes | buy | 58.59 | $0.085 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes | buy | 48.81 | $0.410 | $20 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 102.35 | $0.049 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 37.9 | $0.264 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | sell | 24.76 | $0.666 | $16.49 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?No | buy | 67.5 | $0.296 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 24.76 | $0.485 | $12 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes | buy | 111.43 | $0.045 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?No | buy | 473.17 | $0.013 | $6 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.