Analytics
NOTMICHAELTFG has made $12.12K on Polymarket, #12,562 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 12.71K | $0.007 | $19.06 | -$68.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 20:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:30 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 23:30 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:05 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $16.72K and losing ones cost $4.22K across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.54K on “Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?” (No); the largest loss, $1.55K on “Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?” (Yes).
It has traded 836 markets. Its open positions are worth $19.93 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 8 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.48 |
| +$0.42 |
 Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 13.99 | $0.002 | $0.33 | +$0.3 |
 Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 24.01 | $0.002 | $0.06 | +$0.01 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
