Latest trade
Sep 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 10:06 AM UTC.
Analytics
Rafliest1 is down $101.71 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 10:06 AM UTC.
$218.68 median trade
Its latest 235 trades covered 109 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from Feb 26, 2026 UTC to Sep 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 41.12 | $0.998 | $41.04 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 06:48 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-19 10:06 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
235 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-19 10:06 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 10:50 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $0.03 and losing ones cost $14.82 across the latest 50 settled positions. 2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.03 on “Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?” (No); the largest loss, $0.89 on “Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?” (No).
It first traded on 15 Feb 2026 and most recently on 3 Sep 2026. It has traded 109 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 41.12 |
| $0.997 |
| $41 |
| Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 24.12 | $0.994 | $23.98 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 24.12 | $0.995 | $24 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | sell | 32.03 | $0.998 | $31.97 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 32.03 | $0.999 | $32 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 36.21 | $0.993 | $35.96 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 36.22 | $0.994 | $36 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 42.08 | $0.997 | $41.95 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 42.08 | $0.998 | $42 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 35.28 | $0.982 | $34.64 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 35.28 | $0.992 | $35 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 34.3 | $0.990 | $33.96 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 34.31 | $0.991 | $34 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 39.07 | $0.997 | $38.95 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 39.08 | $0.998 | $39 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 28.17 | $0.993 | $27.97 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.994 | $28 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 34.21 | $0.993 | $33.97 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 34.21 | $0.994 | $34 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 44.26 | $0.993 | $43.95 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 44.27 | $0.994 | $44 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 245.96 | $0.991 | $243.75 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 245.97 | $0.992 | $244 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 252.51 | $0.993 | $250.74 | May 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 252.52 | $0.994 | $251 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 207.25 | $0.993 | $205.8 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?No | buy | 207.24 | $0.994 | $206 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 216.51 | $0.992 | $214.78 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 216.52 | $0.993 | $215 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 257.8 | $0.992 | $255.74 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 257.8 | $0.993 | $256 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 179.43 | $0.991 | $177.82 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 179.44 | $0.992 | $178 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 246.47 | $0.992 | $244.5 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 246.48 | $0.994 | $245 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 251.5 | $0.997 | $250.75 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 251.5 | $0.998 | $251 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 233.47 | $0.997 | $232.77 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 233.47 | $0.998 | $233 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 258.06 | $0.991 | $255.74 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 258.06 | $0.992 | $256 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 217.43 | $0.997 | $216.78 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 217.43 | $0.998 | $217 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 234.1 | $0.990 | $231.76 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 234.11 | $0.991 | $232 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 190.14 | $0.993 | $188.81 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 190.14 | $0.994 | $189 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 178.53 | $0.996 | $177.82 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 178.54 | $0.997 | $178 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.