Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.3 | $0.583 | $18.82 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 83.73 |
| $0.080 |
| $6.7 |
| May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.31 | $0.390 | $12.6 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 316.71 | $0.041 | $13.05 | May 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 83.73 | $0.150 | $12.56 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 65.29 | $0.190 | $12.41 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.005 | $0.16 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 65.3 | $0.187 | $12.18 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 39.21 | $0.940 | $36.86 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 39.38 | $0.770 | $30.32 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 39.38 | $0.500 | $19.69 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | sell | 123.31 | $0.160 | $19.69 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 41.94 | $0.160 | $6.71 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.81 | $0.290 | $6.61 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Warriors vs. SunsWarriors | buy | 6.51 | $0.430 | $2.8 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.81 | $0.160 | $3.65 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 28.86 | $0.230 | $6.64 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.070 | $1.03 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 0.58 | $0.194 | $0.11 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 1.22 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | buy | 30.66 | $0.196 | $6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.090 | $6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 316.72 | $0.016 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.009 | $0.8 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 27.88 | $0.080 | $2.23 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?No | sell | 27.3 | $0.082 | $2.23 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?No | buy | 27.31 | $0.078 | $2.13 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 7.9 | $0.270 | $2.13 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.300 | $2.37 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.83 | $0.070 | $2.37 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.83 | $0.060 | $2.03 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.69 | $0.026 | $2.03 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.7 | $0.099 | $7.67 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |