Latest trade
Apr 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:19 PM UTC.
Analytics
Overthinking is down $5.2K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:19 PM UTC.
$49.2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 11 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Apr 16, 2026 UTC to Apr 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 15:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 19:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 19:19 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-05 00:30 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.53K and losing ones cost $6.63K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $329.38 on “Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.62K on “Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?” (Yes).
It first traded on 8 Mar 2026 and most recently on 24 Apr 2026, 184 days ago. It has traded 71 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 65 |
| $0.500 |
| $32.5 |
| Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.497 | $500 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No | buy | 113.21 | $0.486 | $55 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 254.53 | $0.999 | $254.28 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 430.47 | $0.999 | $430.04 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 615 | $0.999 | $614.39 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.001 | $1.5 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 117.1 | $0.260 | $30.45 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.260 | $2.05 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.260 | $130 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.420 | $14.48 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 115.24 | $0.420 | $48.4 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 660.13 | $0.570 | $376.27 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.570 | $1.33 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.570 | $3.64 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.16 | $0.570 | $17.76 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 295.31 | $0.610 | $180.14 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.610 | $8.54 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.610 | $9.76 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.610 | $4.69 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.610 | $3.16 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.610 | $1.56 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 249.24 | $0.610 | $152.04 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 68.44 | $0.420 | $28.74 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.260 | $19.5 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 40.87 | $0.080 | $3.27 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 318.23 | $0.291 | $92.6 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 381.77 | $0.291 | $111.1 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 125.78 | $0.240 | $30.19 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.180 | $194 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | sell | 474.83 | $0.615 | $291.96 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.650 | $104 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 191.94 | $0.385 | $73.92 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.360 | $360 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 46.48 | $0.355 | $16.5 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.355 | $1.78 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.355 | $1.78 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 352.75 | $0.356 | $125.47 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 819.95 | $0.366 | $300 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 822.27 | $0.365 | $300 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 140.05 | $0.357 | $50 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.55 | $0.321 | $3.71 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.321 | $2.36 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 899.96 | $0.320 | $287.99 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 58.87 | $0.400 | $23.55 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.