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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 243.12 | $0.991 | $242.76 | +$1.82 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | 9h ago |
 |
| No |
| 247.47 |
| $0.778 |
| $211.59 |
| +$19 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 101.91 | $0.914 | $98.8 | +$5.6 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 73.97 | $0.639 | $63.21 | +$15.94 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.540 | $16 | -$2 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 27.85 | $0.438 | $14.62 | +$2.43 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 21.2 | $0.550 | $10.71 | -$0.95 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 9.72 | $0.831 | $9.61 | +$1.53 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | $0.270 | $7.65 | -$0.45 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.69 | $0.880 | $6.26 | +$0.37 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 12.17 | $0.404 | $6.02 | +$1.11 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.5 | $0.380 | $0.01 | -$0.56 |
| buy |
| 5.51 |
| $0.420 |
| $2.31 |
| 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.390 | $2.6 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.590 | $3.62 | 13h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.540 | $18 | 14h ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 38.84 | $0.080 | $3.11 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 21.17 | $0.070 | $1.48 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.333 | $11.1 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 27.33 | $0.440 | $12.03 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 6 | $0.400 | $2.4 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 49.47 | $0.219 | $10.83 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.210 | $1.18 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.210 | $1.47 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 31.69 | $0.044 | $1.39 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.290 | $7.07 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 18.11 | $0.290 | $5.25 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 22.03 | $0.300 | $6.61 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 20.32 | $0.300 | $6.1 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 62.49 | $0.240 | $15 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 95.8 | $0.230 | $22.03 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 15.44 | $0.230 | $3.55 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 40.98 | $0.230 | $9.43 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 71.09 | $0.170 | $12.09 | 29d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.820 | $6.99 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.820 | $4.35 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.33 | $0.820 | $9.29 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 13.49 | $0.810 | $10.93 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.789 | $4.39 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.540 | $3.94 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.460 | $3.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 158.66 | $0.790 | $125.34 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.364 | $0.51 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.335 | $4.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 30.51 | $0.420 | $12.81 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 16.55 | $0.426 | $7.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.92 | $0.678 | $8.08 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.61 | $0.720 | $45.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 46.54 | $0.244 | $11.36 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.27 | $0.245 | $1.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.08 | $0.231 | $2.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.63 | $0.234 | $1.79 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.243 | $1.71 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.76 | $0.243 | $7.23 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 75 | $0.735 | $55.13 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 40.03 | $0.639 | $25.58 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 33.94 | $0.639 | $21.69 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.964 | $6.02 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.964 | $5.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.964 | $5.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |