Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 300 | $0.830 | $246 | -$3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 49 | $0.540 | $26.46 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 200.96 |
| $0.803 |
| $161.27 |
| -$0.1 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 253.02 | $0.502 | $127.14 | +$0.13 |
 Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | No | 112 | $0.810 | $90.72 | $0 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 111.68 | $0.810 | $88.79 | -$1.68 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 140.35 | $0.629 | $87.79 | -$0.49 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 169.02 | $0.530 | $80.28 | -$9.3 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 81.18 | $0.854 | $68.35 | -$0.97 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 74.39 | $0.820 | $61.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 52.35 | $0.867 | $45.6 | +$0.21 |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | No | 61 | $0.670 | $41.48 | +$0.61 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50.36 | $0.812 | $40.92 | +$0.03 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 49.41 | $0.739 | $36.57 | +$0.07 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | No | 50 | $0.700 | $34 | -$1 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.640 | $28.25 | -$3.75 |
 Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 33.13 | $0.720 | $24.02 | +$0.17 |
 Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.610 | $23 | -$7.5 |
 Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 26 | $0.740 | $19.37 | +$0.13 |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes? | No | 38.29 | $0.500 | $19.34 | +$0.19 |
| Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | No | 32.02 | $0.590 | $19.05 | +$0.16 |
 Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | No | 20 | $0.800 | $15.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $15.1 | +$0.1 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 16.55 | $0.720 | $12 | +$0.08 |
| Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | No | 21.43 | $0.550 | $11.79 | $0 |
| Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 10.8 | $0.560 | $5.89 | -$0.16 |
| sell |
| 9 |
| $0.760 |
| $6.84 |
| 1h ago |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | 2h ago |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | 2h ago |
| Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 35 | $0.764 | $26.75 | 3h ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 4h ago |
 Will Geneviève Hébert win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?No | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 8h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 5%-10%?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 8h ago |
| Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | 9h ago |
| Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 130 | $0.680 | $88.4 | 10h ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 88 | $0.798 | $70.22 | 11h ago |
| Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | 11h ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 154 | $0.543 | $83.62 | 12h ago |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.850 | $68 | 13h ago |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 88 | $0.224 | $19.71 | 14h ago |
| Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 128 | $0.700 | $89.6 | 14h ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 165 | $0.813 | $134.14 | 15h ago |
 Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | 16h ago |
 Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.820 | $0.36 | 17h ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 0.92 | $0.629 | $0.58 | 17h ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 0.81 | $0.856 | $0.69 | 17h ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.510 | $0.21 | 17h ago |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.562 | $0.51 | 17h ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.520 | $0.21 | 17h ago |
| Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 0.76 | $0.870 | $0.66 | 17h ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 0.8 | $0.740 | $0.59 | 17h ago |
| Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.740 | $0.65 | 17h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 0.7 | $0.650 | $0.45 | 17h ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.570 | $0.06 | 17h ago |
 Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.590 | $2.24 | 17h ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.502 | $0.28 | 17h ago |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 0.67 | $0.878 | $0.59 | 17h ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.710 | $0.55 | 17h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | sell | 0.78 | $0.825 | $0.64 | 17h ago |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.500 | $0.46 | 17h ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 0.76 | $0.855 | $0.65 | 17h ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.570 | $33.06 | 18h ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 183 | $0.629 | $115.11 | 19h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 157 | $0.856 | $134.39 | 19h ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 57 | $0.735 | $41.91 | 21h ago |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | 23h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 60%-65%?No | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes | sell | 103 | $0.860 | $88.58 | 1d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 59.99 | $0.740 | $44.39 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 84 | $0.500 | $42 | 1d ago |
 Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 1d ago |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 84 | $0.820 | $68.88 | 1d ago |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 22 | $0.843 | $18.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 1d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.502 | $2.51 | 1d ago |