Latest trade
Sep 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 6:02 PM UTC.
Analytics
hdgdef is down $28.42 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-27 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 6:02 PM UTC.
$135.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 28, 2026 UTC to Sep 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?No | buy | 14.43 | $0.998 | $14.4 | 24d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-27 16:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 18:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 18:02 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-27 16:13 UTC
Last checked just now.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.61 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 2?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 27 Sep 2026. It has traded 126 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.730 |
| $1.46 |
| 24d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.53 | $0.998 | $15.5 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?No | buy | 137.14 | $0.999 | $137 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.999 | $135 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?No | buy | 137.14 | $0.999 | $137 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 137.14 | $0.999 | $137 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?Yes | buy | 137.14 | $0.999 | $137 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?No | buy | 137.14 | $0.999 | $137 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 137.13 | $0.999 | $136.99 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?Yes | buy | 136.14 | $0.999 | $136 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.003 | $4.5 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?Yes | buy | 141.14 | $0.999 | $141 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?No | buy | 141.14 | $0.999 | $141 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No | buy | 136.14 | $0.999 | $136 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.999 | $135 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 140.13 | $0.999 | $139.99 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No | buy | 135.12 | $0.999 | $134.99 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.999 | $1.31 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.999 | $1.27 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 143.12 | $0.999 | $142.98 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 13?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 13?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.998 | $1.17 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.002 | $3.88 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 145.13 | $0.999 | $144.99 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 9?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 9?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 149.15 | $0.999 | $149 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.998 | $1.35 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 148.15 | $0.999 | $148 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 19?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 147.29 | $0.998 | $147 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?Yes | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 11?Down | buy | 1.2 | $0.910 | $1.1 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.999 | $1.34 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 6?Yes | buy | 147.15 | $0.999 | $147 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 145.15 | $0.999 | $145 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 8?No | buy | 145.15 | $0.999 | $145 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.998 | $1.32 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 2?No | buy | 148.13 | $0.999 | $147.98 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 28?No | buy | 144.14 | $0.999 | $144 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.