Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.031 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.969 | $37.79 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 35 |
| $0.968 |
| $33.88 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 55 | $0.680 | $37.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.680 | $37.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.110 | $4.18 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.470 | $22.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.470 | $22.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.360 | $26.28 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.340 | $24.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.899 | $13.49 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.962 | $35.59 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.783 | $3.13 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 31 | $0.955 | $29.61 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 83 | $0.400 | $33.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.038 | $2.28 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.966 | $31.88 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.855 | $31.63 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.984 | $35.42 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.042 | $1.51 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 64 | $0.550 | $35.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.097 | $1.26 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.096 | $7.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 13 | $0.450 | $5.85 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 71 | $0.450 | $31.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.450 | $0.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.962 | $31.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.962 | $31.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.975 | $1.95 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.800 | $33.6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 35 | $0.957 | $33.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.987 | $33.56 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.987 | $35.53 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.350 | $1.4 | May 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.560 | $8.96 | May 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.560 | $34.16 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.340 | $28.56 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.749 | $32.96 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.891 | $33.86 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.885 | $33.63 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.65 | $0.410 | $8.06 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.030 | $0.09 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 44.08 | $0.031 | $1.37 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.031 | $1.49 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 33.14 | $0.979 | $32.44 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 296 | $0.979 | $289.78 | May 15, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 299 | $0.969 | $289.73 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.017 | $1.48 | May 13, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 114 | $0.977 | $111.38 | May 12, 2026 |