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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 15.32 | $0.979 | $15.25 | +$0.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
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| No |
| 10.64 |
| $0.940 |
| $10.05 |
| +$0.05 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 11.24 | $0.890 | $9.94 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 10.49 |
| $0.953 |
| $10 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.68 | $0.936 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.32 | $0.979 | $15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.949 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.859 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 12.32 | $0.974 | $12 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.58 | $0.950 | $11 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | buy | 11.4 | $0.965 | $11 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.938 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.923 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.972 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.667 | $7 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.955 | $6 | May 13, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.900 | $8 | May 13, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.974 | $7 | May 13, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | May 13, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.800 | $7 | May 13, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.971 | $6 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.980 | $7.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.960 | $6.97 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.948 | $6.97 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.975 | $6.98 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.954 | $4.98 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.963 | $9.97 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.984 | $6.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.9 | $0.847 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 7.79 | $0.770 | $6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown | buy | 6.1 | $0.810 | $4.94 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will either Tate brother be arrested by March 31?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Japanese" 10+ times during events with Japanese PM?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 11.51 | $0.956 | $11 | Mar 19, 2026 |