Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 11% on 7 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Jun 2026 to 9 Jun 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 8 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 9 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 1.2% on 9 Jun 2026. $168.9K traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 10, 7:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Jun 2026 – 9 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026 | 11.0% |
| 9 Jun 2026 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 57.01K |
| vamnizar | Yes | 16.81K |
| dudukos | Yes | 10.8K |
| junseokletsgo | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-8-june-10
| b00ze | Yes | 4.47K |
| SmolDog | Yes | 3.77K |
| girlfromuganda | Yes | 3.38K |
| Trader120 | Yes | 2.99K |
| Conventional-Crinoline | Yes | 1.64K |
| skoldor | Yes | 1.59K |
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