Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 67.86 | $0.280 | $3.05 | -$15.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 67.63 | $0.057 | $3.84 | May 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.120 |
| $0.76 |
| -$1.64 |
| buy |
| 2.7 |
| $0.740 |
| $2 |
| May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | sell | 3.44 | $0.640 | $2.2 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | sell | 17.5 | $0.010 | $0.18 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown | sell | 2.56 | $0.830 | $2.12 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | sell | 2.04 | $0.860 | $1.75 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | sell | 100.27 | $0.106 | $10.63 | May 11, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | buy | 100.27 | $0.068 | $6.79 | May 11, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 18.63 | $0.380 | $7.08 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 90.44 | $0.044 | $4 | May 11, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | sell | 269.28 | $0.016 | $4.31 | May 11, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 18.63 | $0.300 | $5.59 | May 10, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | buy | 269.28 | $0.019 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 13.5 | $0.780 | $10.53 | May 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 120 | $0.411 | $49.28 | May 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 120 | $0.570 | $68.4 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 98.56 | $0.780 | $76.88 | May 3, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 67.86 | $0.280 | $19 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 240.97 | $0.123 | $29.72 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 266.1 | $0.110 | $29.27 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 443.54 | $0.133 | $58.99 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.23 | $0.110 | $12.24 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.47 | $0.120 | $6.54 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 50.73 | $0.126 | $6.39 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 102.66 | $0.129 | $13.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.127 | $2.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 309.59 | $0.125 | $38.75 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 85.13 | $0.124 | $10.56 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.124 | $9.19 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 752.75 | $0.072 | $54.34 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 731.79 | $0.060 | $43.91 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 70.36 | $0.150 | $10.55 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 43.33 | $0.300 | $13 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 64.41 | $0.360 | $23.19 | Jan 22, 2026 |