Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.760 | $3.04 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.940 |
| $4.7 |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.200 | $0.2 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.870 | $0.87 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.900 | $0.9 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.640 | $0.64 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.360 | $0.36 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Linda McMahon for Commerce Secretary?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.710 | $0.71 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.820 | $0.82 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.920 | $0.92 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump appoint Scott Jennings for White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 17.09 | $0.110 | $1.88 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.500 | $7.69 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 30.99 | $0.310 | $9.61 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Nov 11, 2024 |