Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 63% on 22 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 61 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 98% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 63% on 22 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 98% on 21 Jan 2025. $62K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 3:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 22 Nov 2024 – 21 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2024 | 63.0% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jerzy | No | 1.74K |
| HackJamer09 | No | 227.27 |
| Feasy | No | 108 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-declare-a-national-emergency-in-his-first-100-days
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 100 |
| teresafox | No | 100 |
| KarlPolymarket | Yes | 85.71 |
| metafoxprediction | No | 37.04 |
| ANU | No | 31.25 |
| Casey555 | Yes | 24.52 |
| Nodetrader | No | 15.63 |
