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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.105 | $13.55 | Jun 21, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 56 |
| $0.860 |
| $48.16 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 53 | $0.820 | $43.46 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 53 | $0.810 | $42.93 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.046 | $1.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.046 | $1.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 52 | $0.910 | $47.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 52 | $0.910 | $47.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 50 | $0.957 | $47.85 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.310 | $14.26 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.987 | $43.43 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 163 | $0.020 | $3.26 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 76.32 | $0.020 | $1.53 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.021 | $0.97 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.021 | $3.07 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.981 | $48.07 | May 31, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.977 | $47.87 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.780 | $42.9 | May 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.420 | $16.38 | May 30, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.580 | $1.16 | May 29, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.969 | $38.76 | May 29, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.149 | $10.43 | May 29, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.040 | $0.16 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.044 | $1.01 | May 26, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.041 | $1.76 | May 26, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.042 | $1.97 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 6 | $0.963 | $5.78 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.676 | $5.41 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.675 | $5.4 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 6 | $0.934 | $5.6 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.088 | $0.62 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?No | sell | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 6?No | sell | 8 | $0.976 | $7.81 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 6?No | buy | 8 | $0.964 | $7.71 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.965 | $1.33 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 7 | $0.951 | $6.66 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 7 | $0.986 | $6.9 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 7 | $0.980 | $6.86 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.978 | $6.85 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.948 | $7.58 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.972 | $7.78 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.966 | $7.73 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.976 | $7.81 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.977 | $6.84 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Amazon buy TikTok?No | sell | 7 | $0.884 | $6.19 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Amazon buy TikTok?No | buy | 7 | $0.882 | $6.17 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.975 | $1.83 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.990 | $1.3 | Mar 28, 2025 |