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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.55 | $0.042 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.031 | $2.11 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 255 |
| $0.530 |
| $135.15 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 167 | $0.810 | $135.27 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 147 | $0.920 | $135.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.949 | $32.27 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 157 | $0.948 | $148.84 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 133.75 | $0.200 | $26.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 62 | $0.991 | $61.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.989 | $148.35 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 206 | $0.720 | $148.32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.101 | $15.05 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 206 | $0.700 | $144.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 54.38 | $0.980 | $53.29 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 53 | $0.980 | $51.94 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 151 | $0.980 | $147.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 254 | $0.170 | $43.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 254 | $0.170 | $43.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.063 | $9.07 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 151 | $0.984 | $148.58 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | sell | 308 | $0.390 | $120.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 386 | $0.390 | $150.54 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.440 | $9.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.450 | $9.45 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.012 | $1.74 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 578 | $0.015 | $8.67 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 131 | $0.989 | $129.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 154 | $0.987 | $152 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.790 | $42.66 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.040 | $10.6 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 181 | $0.788 | $142.63 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.500 | $6.5 | May 30, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.985 | $89.64 | May 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.540 | $140.4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.042 | $0.71 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.042 | $2.23 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.440 | $5.72 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 165 | $0.560 | $92.4 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 276 | $0.560 | $154.56 | May 28, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.070 | $2.45 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 193 | $0.807 | $155.75 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 318 | $0.269 | $85.54 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.384 | $44.93 | May 25, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 328.12 | $0.016 | $5.25 | May 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 124.27 | $0.016 | $1.99 | May 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 502 | $0.017 | $8.53 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 179 | $0.895 | $160.21 | May 24, 2026 |