Latest trade
Apr 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 6:52 AM UTC.
Analytics
Golden Kestrel 5685 has made $9.85 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 6:52 AM UTC.
$37.32 median trade
Its latest 178 trades covered 76 markets; 63.5% were buys. They run from Sep 8, 2025 UTC to Apr 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.96 | $0.025 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 560 | $0.025 | $14 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 04:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-15 06:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
178 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-15 06:52 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-04 01:42 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $17.09 and losing ones cost $5.14 across the latest 50 settled positions. 28% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.01 on “Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.42 on “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?” (Yes).
It first traded on 3 Sep 2025 and most recently on 27 Apr 2026, 170 days ago. It has traded 85 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.02 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 0.65 |
| $0.019 |
| $0 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 334 |
| $0.045 |
| $15.03 |
| Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.048 | $7.73 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 349 | $0.017 | $5.93 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 189 | $0.075 | $14.17 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.075 | $24.75 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.026 | $0.88 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 133.74 | $0.027 | $3.61 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 662 | $0.027 | $17.87 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.116 | $23.78 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.115 | $36.8 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.015 | $1.53 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 186 | $0.889 | $165.35 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 171 | $0.968 | $165.53 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 171 | $0.968 | $165.53 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 54 | $0.973 | $52.54 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 54 | $0.966 | $52.16 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.036 | $9.36 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 132 | $0.035 | $4.62 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 675 | $0.084 | $56.7 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 675 | $0.085 | $57.38 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | sell | 46 | $0.987 | $45.4 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | sell | 136 | $0.988 | $134.37 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 182 | $0.988 | $179.82 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.939 | $16.9 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 640 | $0.012 | $7.68 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 182.1 | $0.858 | $156.24 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 210 | $0.856 | $179.76 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 187 | $0.959 | $179.33 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 187 | $0.956 | $178.77 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 15 | $0.747 | $11.21 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 224 | $0.747 | $167.33 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 239 | $0.747 | $178.53 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 165 | $0.948 | $156.42 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 165 | $0.933 | $153.95 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.062 | $3.72 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.072 | $10.22 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 132 | $0.135 | $17.88 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.137 | $2.74 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 348 | $0.122 | $42.46 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 159 | $0.987 | $156.93 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 449 | $0.121 | $54.33 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 652 | $0.121 | $78.89 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 186 | $0.929 | $172.79 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 67 | $0.987 | $66.13 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.119 | $1.67 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?No | buy | 159 | $0.989 | $157.25 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 163 | $0.152 | $24.78 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 359 | $0.152 | $54.57 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 195 | $0.888 | $173.16 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.