Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 32.97 |
| $0.910 |
| $30 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No | buy | 21.16 | $0.945 | $20 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No | buy | 20.51 | $0.975 | $20 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No | buy | 17.29 | $0.540 | $9.34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.188 | $15.04 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 18.29 | $0.830 | $15.18 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.85 | $0.963 | $22 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 25.03 | $0.879 | $22 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.59 | $0.977 | $25 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.12 | $0.830 | $25 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 40.36 | $0.991 | $40 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.96 | $0.969 | $30 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 112 | $0.972 | $108.92 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?Yes | sell | 25.07 | $0.993 | $24.89 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?Yes | buy | 25.08 | $0.997 | $25 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 30.46 | $0.985 | $30 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30.33 | $0.988 | $29.97 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30.33 | $0.989 | $30 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.820 | $19.75 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 100.4 | $0.995 | $99.9 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 100.4 | $0.996 | $100 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.540 | $14.73 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.610 | $19.67 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | sell | 145.98 | $0.136 | $19.85 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 145.99 | $0.137 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 19.41 | $0.838 | $16.26 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.41 | $0.850 | $16.5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.900 | $19.56 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 46.87 | $0.310 | $14.53 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 171.82 | $0.581 | $99.83 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 171.82 | $0.582 | $100 | Oct 29, 2024 |