Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.110 | $0.44 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 154 |
| $0.084 |
| $12.94 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.084 | $12.91 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.971 | $47.58 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.967 | $47.38 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 29 | $0.700 | $20.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.154 | $8.01 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.175 | $16.45 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 52 | $0.956 | $49.71 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 52 | $0.956 | $49.71 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.043 | $0.64 | May 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.042 | $1.55 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 77 | $0.617 | $47.51 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.029 | $0.03 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1 | $0.945 | $0.95 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Los Angeles by Friday?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.988 | $1.7 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.073 | $1.68 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.907 | $4.54 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.063 | $0.76 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 6 | $0.964 | $5.78 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No | sell | 6 | $0.978 | $5.87 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No | buy | 6 | $0.981 | $5.89 | May 26, 2025 |
 No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.955 | $6.69 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Man City qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.966 | $5.8 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?No | sell | 6 | $0.980 | $5.88 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?No | buy | 6 | $0.934 | $5.6 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.964 | $5.78 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.964 | $5.78 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Simion | sell | 7 | $0.857 | $6 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Simion | buy | 7 | $0.774 | $5.42 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108000 and $110000 on May 16?No | buy | 6 | $0.961 | $5.77 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 6 | $0.950 | $5.7 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.032 | $0.19 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.990 | $1.9 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.983 | $8.85 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.986 | $1.8 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 9 | $0.976 | $8.78 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No | sell | 10 | $0.912 | $9.12 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No | buy | 10 | $0.921 | $9.21 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Grimace vs. DoubleYouGrimace | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Feb 18, 2025 |