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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 314.16 | $0.680 | $213.63 | Nov 20, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 97.65 |
| $0.017 |
| $1.66 |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 187.64 | $0.994 | $186.51 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 59.09 | $0.066 | $3.9 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 122.69 | $0.977 | $119.87 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | sell | 7.55 | $0.790 | $5.96 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 161.17 | $0.961 | $154.85 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.952 | $20.4 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 209.93 | $0.780 | $163.75 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 209.93 | $0.750 | $157.45 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 151.29 | $0.921 | $139.34 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 173.43 | $0.996 | $172.74 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 173.43 | $0.997 | $172.91 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.980 | $3.58 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 136.67 | $0.987 | $134.89 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 161.75 | $0.995 | $160.94 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 161.76 | $0.996 | $161.11 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 145.95 | $0.996 | $145.37 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 145.95 | $0.996 | $145.37 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13?No | buy | 18.46 | $0.998 | $18.42 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 148.08 | $0.997 | $147.64 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 148.09 | $0.998 | $147.79 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 157.8 | $0.995 | $157.01 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 157.81 | $0.995 | $157.02 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 143.5 | $0.995 | $142.78 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.996 | $5.36 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 143.49 | $0.996 | $142.92 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 150.98 | $0.994 | $150.07 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 16.44 | $0.999 | $16.42 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 150.98 | $0.995 | $150.23 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.970 | $5.16 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 146.83 | $0.995 | $146.1 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 146.84 | $0.996 | $146.25 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 138.51 | $0.998 | $138.23 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.991 | $5.87 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 138.51 | $0.999 | $138.37 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 141.68 | $0.996 | $141.11 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.997 | $4.07 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 161.94 | $0.996 | $161.29 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.993 | $4.46 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 161.95 | $0.997 | $161.46 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will PDP win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.999 | $1.7 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 144.9 | $0.994 | $144.03 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 144.9 | $0.995 | $144.18 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 151.47 | $0.994 | $150.56 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 151.48 | $0.995 | $150.72 | May 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.78 | $0.999 | $3.78 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 12.96 | $0.999 | $12.95 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 4.95 | $0.996 | $4.93 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.998 | $1.05 | Apr 23, 2025 |