Analytics
Thwolf is down $848.78 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 800 | $0.180 | $52 | -$92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-07 18:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 05:21 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 05:21 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-07 18:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.56K and losing ones cost $383.98 across the latest 50 settled positions. 86% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $760.94 on “Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $188.41 on “Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?” (No).
It has traded 148 markets. Its open positions are worth $54.3 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 270.27 |
| $0.037 |
| $2.3 |
| -$7.7 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
