Latest trade
Aug 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:49 AM UTC.
Analytics
Grumpy-Peer is down $82.4 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 6 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:49 AM UTC.
$1.56 median trade
Its latest 39 trades covered 15 markets; 94.9% were buys. They run from May 10, 2026 UTC to Aug 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | Yes | 71.28 | $0.337 | $34.21 | +$10.16 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Yes | buy | 234.78 | $0.426 | $100 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-11 18:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
39 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:49 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-11 18:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $36.18 and losing ones cost $7.2 across 6 settled positions. 66.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $16 on “Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.75 on “Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Aug 2026. It has traded 15 markets. Its open positions are worth $56.82 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 125.51 |
| $0.025 |
| $9.54 |
| +$6.41 |
 Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 11.15 | $0.452 | $6.47 | +$1.42 |
 Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 95.82 | $0.038 | $6.13 | +$2.49 |
 Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $0.3 | -$3.7 |
 Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 96.99 | $0.009 | $0.15 | -$0.74 |
 Will Te Pāti Māori win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 18.23 | $0.030 | $0.03 | -$0.52 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.580 |
| $29 |
| Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.036 | $1.39 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 61.01 | $0.079 | $4.83 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?No | buy | 9.29 | $0.150 | $1.39 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Yes | buy | 78.05 | $0.020 | $1.56 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Yes | buy | 8.46 | $0.020 | $0.17 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?No | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?No | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?No | buy | 0.71 | $0.150 | $0.11 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?No | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 15.3 | $0.040 | $0.61 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes | buy | 41.28 | $0.200 | $8.26 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.300 | $4.5 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 88.21 | $0.040 | $3.53 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.300 | $0.35 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 24.7 | $0.040 | $0.99 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 11.79 | $0.040 | $0.47 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 18.97 | $0.040 | $0.76 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.040 | $0.72 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.470 | $3.28 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.470 | $1.42 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?Down | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.009 | $1.44 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Te Pāti Māori win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 18.23 | $0.030 | $0.55 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.030 | $0.27 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.