Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto EditionYes | sell | 1.11 | $0.971 | $1.08 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.62 |
| $0.151 |
| $0.96 |
| -$0.04 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.77 | -$1.23 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.940 | $0.64 | -$1.36 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | Yes | 1.64 | $0.610 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 3.28 | $0.610 | $0.49 | -$1.51 |
 Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.3 | $0.770 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
 Deel IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
 Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
| sell |
| 1.66 |
| $0.740 |
| $1.23 |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul score a TD during Flag Football Classic?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Espresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump's interview not air?Yes | buy | 33.69 | $0.059 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6PM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2PM ETDown | sell | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2PM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2PM ETDown | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4PM ETUp | sell | 2.59 | $0.999 | $2.59 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4PM ETUp | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 208.46 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ETUp | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ETUp | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.459 | $3 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.827 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 29, 12PM ETUp | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 12PM ETUp | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will "Ocean with David Attenborough" win Outstanding Debut at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Boxing: Lopez vs. StevensonLopez | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Boxing: Lopez vs. StevensonLopez | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fake News" during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?Yes | sell | 3.77 | $0.730 | $2.75 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.950 | $2.04 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETDown | sell | 3.77 | $0.670 | $2.53 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto EditionYes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto EditionNo | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETUp | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETUp | sell | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETUp | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.091 | $3.04 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETUp | sell | 3.92 | $0.580 | $2.27 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETDown | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETDown | sell | 2.5 | $0.810 | $2.03 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETDown | sell | 3.77 | $0.640 | $2.41 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETDown | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ETDown | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes | sell | 13.31 | $0.490 | $6.52 | Jan 28, 2026 |