Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 28 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 73.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 86.5% on 18 Jan 2026. $52.64K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 8:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 73.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | No | 3K |
| KAi185 | No | 500 |
| Unsung-Configuration | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Bitcoin hits an all-time high - Ethereum hits an all-time high - Solana hits an all-time high - US national Bitcoin reserve Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Crypto.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-crypto-edition-319
| No |
| 499.99 |
| Vivid-Reference | No | 142.86 |
| apfelb | No | 96.15 |
| NoIdeaMan777 | No | 76.92 |
| Duf1988 | No | 65.55 |
| Slight-Ambiguity | No | 63.42 |
| Indigo Raven BA64 | No | 50 |
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