Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.986 | $4.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 142.73 |
| $0.011 |
| $1.57 |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.57 | $0.957 | $5.33 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 192.95 | $0.549 | $106 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 110.97 | $0.994 | $110.3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 97.18 | $0.990 | $96.21 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.987 | $1.18 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 77.45 | $0.999 | $77.37 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 77.45 | $0.998 | $77.3 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 92.34 | $0.997 | $92.06 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 92.34 | $0.998 | $92.16 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 79.08 | $0.997 | $78.84 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 79.09 | $0.998 | $78.93 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 106.51 | $0.995 | $105.98 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.977 | $2.36 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 106.52 | $0.996 | $106.09 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 100.64 | $0.995 | $100.14 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 100.64 | $0.995 | $100.14 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 108.34 | $0.995 | $107.8 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 108.34 | $0.996 | $107.91 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 99.41 | $0.996 | $99.01 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.998 | $2.41 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 99.42 | $0.996 | $99.02 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 100.21 | $0.993 | $99.51 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 100.21 | $0.994 | $99.61 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.951 | $5.55 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 82.59 | $0.998 | $82.42 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 11.88 | $0.998 | $11.86 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 106.48 | $0.994 | $105.84 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.991 | $1.34 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 106.48 | $0.995 | $105.95 | May 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.94 | $0.984 | $47.17 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.998 | $1.51 | May 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11.48 | $0.993 | $11.4 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 46.82 | $0.996 | $46.63 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the PPC win 4 seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 8.98 | $0.998 | $8.96 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 46.82 | $0.997 | $46.68 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 58.58 | $0.999 | $58.52 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 18–25?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.997 | $1.02 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.993 | $5.83 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 58.59 | $0.999 | $58.53 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 40.05 | $0.998 | $39.97 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.992 | $5.39 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 40.05 | $0.999 | $40.01 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 13.63 | $0.996 | $13.58 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.997 | $5.07 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?No | buy | 21.45 | $0.999 | $21.43 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 65.29 | $0.996 | $65.03 | Apr 12, 2025 |