Latest trade
Jul 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:04 PM UTC.
Analytics
predictionaur is down $59.19 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 22 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:04 PM UTC.
$0.85 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Dec 22, 2025 UTC to Jul 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 23.02 | $0.180 | $2.27 | -$1.88 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 54.79 | $0.182 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-12 23:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 13:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 13:04 UTC
polymarket positions
24 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-12 23:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $40.45 and losing ones cost $14.23 across 22 settled positions. 36.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $21.73 on “SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.1 on “Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Jul 2026. It has traded 48 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.78 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 15.88 |
| $0.340 |
| $0.52 |
| -$4.88 |
| sell |
| 78.12 |
| $0.930 |
| $72.65 |
| Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 107.31 | $0.629 | $67.54 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 107.32 | $0.687 | $73.72 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.63 | $0.140 | $2.61 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.989 | $6.6 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 3.42 | $0.961 | $3.29 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.930 | $2.69 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.800 | $2.88 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.995 | $2.51 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.994 | $1.57 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.890 | $5.93 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?No | sell | 8.01 | $0.920 | $7.37 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Meta acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 210.92 | $0.099 | $20.87 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 12.07 | $0.840 | $10.14 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 0.25 | $0.040 | $0.01 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will The Life of Chuck win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will The Life of Chuck win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 82.12 | $0.010 | $0.82 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 49.8 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 50.2 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.010 | $0.87 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 49.9 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 13.1 | $0.010 | $0.13 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 23.66 | $0.040 | $0.95 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.040 | $0.09 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.040 | $0.48 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 9.57 | $0.040 | $0.38 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 23.91 | $0.040 | $0.96 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Eva Victor be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.950 | $1.06 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Eva Victor be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.960 | $1.08 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brendan Fraser be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 23.91 | $0.040 | $0.96 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Eva Victor be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.960 | $1.08 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2025?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.016 | $0.41 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will The Life of Chuck win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 17.98 | $0.010 | $0.18 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wicked: For Good win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 83.65 | $0.010 | $0.84 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 8.88 | $0.010 | $0.09 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 41.46 | $0.010 | $0.41 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 8.54 | $0.010 | $0.09 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wicked: For Good win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 3.81 | $0.010 | $0.04 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wicked: For Good win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 46.19 | $0.010 | $0.46 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 71.56 | $0.010 | $0.72 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 12.09 | $0.010 | $0.12 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Wicked: For Good win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 12.64 | $0.010 | $0.13 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.190 | $0.32 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.55 | $0.022 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.022 | $0.07 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.11 | $0.022 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.