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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | Yes | 31.45 | $0.636 | $2.82 | -$17.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 183.28 | $0.183 | $33.54 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 150.95 |
| $0.210 |
| $2.49 |
| -$29.21 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 205.32 | $0.239 | $0.1 | -$48.9 |
| sell |
| 183.82 |
| $0.141 |
| $25.92 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 124.46 | $0.160 | $19.91 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 124.46 | $0.168 | $20.91 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 20.54 | $0.820 | $16.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.998 | $21.23 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | May 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 39.47 | $0.998 | $39.39 | May 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.991 | $9.8 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.760 | $30 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.8 | $0.797 | $31.73 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 20.92 | $0.780 | $16.32 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 19?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 26.16 | $0.820 | $21.45 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.84 | $0.951 | $13.16 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 21.45 | $0.932 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 150.95 | $0.210 | $31.7 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.45 | $0.636 | $20 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | buy | 53.16 | $0.376 | $20 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | sell | 71.33 | $0.999 | $71.26 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 205.32 | $0.239 | $49 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | buy | 71.33 | $0.701 | $50 | Dec 6, 2025 |